The 2012 Youth Vote: The Young Turnout at 2012

October 31, 2012

The Center for Information & Research on Civic Learning & Engagement (CIRCLE) has been following the polls in caucuses, primaries, and early election voting to track how and how much the Millennial generation is voting in the 2012 elections. They are using these pattern numbers to compare to past elections and to predict how youth will vote come November 6.

The latest survey, commissioned by the Youth Education Fund, is unique in that it polled 1,695 youth (ages 18-29) in June/July and 1,109 of the same youth between October 12 and 23. Surveying the same people twice provides powerful evidence of change over time.

The poll shows the following:

  • The proportion saying they are extremely likely to vote has risen 9.9 points since June/July.
  • The proportion who are paying attention to the election has also risen
  • If the election were held today, Obama would win the youth vote by 52.1 percent to 35.1 percent among those registered voters who are “extremely likely to vote.”

Check out other poll numbers from the election cycle in this blogroll, and click the link below for the latest numbers.